Historical replay, Q4 2023: 28 closed signals, 64% ended in profit
Between 1 October 2023 and 31 December 2023, today's rules produced 28 closed BUY-to-SELL replay signals; 18 ended in profit (64.3%). The average closed signal returned +17.3%, the median +2.4%, over a median 79 days. Best: IREN +198.8%; worst: AMD -14.8%.
Every closed signal that exited in the quarter
| Name | Entered | Exited | Return | Days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IRENIREN (AI datacenters) | 2023-10-27 | 2023-12-27 | +198.8% | 61 |
| DISDisney | 2023-11-13 | 2023-12-22 | +2.1% | 39 |
| PATHUiPath | 2023-11-03 | 2023-12-22 | +46.7% | 49 |
| RXRXRecursion Pharma | 2023-12-15 | 2023-12-18 | -2.6% | 3 |
| CRSPCRISPR Therapeutics | 2023-11-08 | 2023-12-08 | +17.9% | 30 |
| IWMRussell 2000 ETF | 2023-12-01 | 2023-12-05 | -0.3% | 4 |
| MQMarqeta | 2023-11-14 | 2023-12-04 | 0.0% | 20 |
| MRVLMarvell | 2023-08-28 | 2023-11-29 | +1.8% | 93 |
| DELLDell (AI servers) | 2023-09-05 | 2023-11-29 | +10.8% | 85 |
| MQMarqeta | 2023-11-08 | 2023-11-13 | -7.6% | 5 |
| METAMeta Platforms | 2023-01-19 | 2023-11-02 | +128.3% | 287 |
| VRTXVertex Pharma | 2023-08-03 | 2023-11-02 | +8.3% | 91 |
| ETNEaton | 2023-01-23 | 2023-10-30 | +26.2% | 280 |
| PGProcter & Gamble | 2023-10-27 | 2023-10-30 | +1.4% | 3 |
| AMDAMD | 2023-08-03 | 2023-10-27 | -14.8% | 85 |
| ONON Semiconductor | 2022-10-04 | 2023-10-26 | +20.1% | 387 |
| CVXChevron | 2023-07-27 | 2023-10-26 | -2.1% | 91 |
| ASXASE Technology | 2023-10-04 | 2023-10-24 | +2.7% | 20 |
| TERTeradyne (test) | 2023-08-11 | 2023-10-24 | -9.9% | 74 |
| TOSTToast | 2022-10-18 | 2023-10-24 | -12.4% | 371 |
| PGProcter & Gamble | 2023-10-20 | 2023-10-23 | +0.1% | 3 |
| MCDMcDonald's | 2022-11-23 | 2023-10-18 | -4.2% | 329 |
| PGProcter & Gamble | 2022-11-17 | 2023-10-18 | +8.5% | 335 |
| PATHUiPath | 2023-09-06 | 2023-10-13 | -5.1% | 37 |
| RGTIRigetti | 2023-09-28 | 2023-10-11 | +15.3% | 13 |
| NFLXNetflix | 2023-04-21 | 2023-10-05 | +13.6% | 167 |
| ASXASE Technology | 2023-05-02 | 2023-10-03 | +17.0% | 154 |
| NOWServiceNow | 2023-01-20 | 2023-10-03 | +22.5% | 256 |
Newest exit first. The same rows, with the still-open positions, are on the historical replay page and in the JSON ledger; aggregate statistics are on the statistics page.
How to read this
Historical replay, not live performance: the rows are today's engine rules replayed over end-of-day history and are recomputed nightly, so a rule change can alter what this page showed earlier. Winners and losers are both listed. Educational publication, not investment advice.
Hesper Atlas is an educational publication, not investment advice. The portfolio is one rules-based construction, identical for everyone, and knows nothing about your situation. Data: end-of-day. Read the terms.