Hesper Atlas

Bitcoin (BTC-USD): buy, hold or sell?

Crypto. One systematic signal, updated after every US close, with the exact prices to act at.

BTC-USD has a current end-of-day Hesper Atlas signal, refreshed after every US close. It is not real-time. The latest state and the full trade plan (exact buy / add / trim / sell prices) are in the app; a free account shows three full stock pages a day, no card required.

On the later 40% chronological validation tail, originally withheld from early tuning but reused in later research, the BTC-USD engine returned +34.5% a year versus +7.6% buying and holding, with a worst drop of −23.4% versus −66.7% (after costs, next-day fills, 2026-07-07 evaluation).

The public historical replay contains 5 closed BTC-USD replay signals (4 ended in profit), regenerated nightly with today’s rules from end-of-day data, losers included.

BTC-USD price with Hesper Atlas closed buy and sell signals, 2022-06-21 to 2026-09-112023202420252026+0.6%$124,753$15,787buysell · closed trades onlyBTC-USD+0.6%last closed signal · 2026-08-23 → 2026-09-09 · 4 of 5 closed signals profitable
Every closed Hesper Atlas replay round trip on BTC-USD: green marks the buy, red the sell, losers included. Today’s state and the trade-plan prices are not on this page. End-of-day prices, dividend-adjusted returns, regenerated nightly with the current rules. Historical replay, not live performance.
Today's BTC-USD signal: The live state and the full trade plan (exact buy / add / trim / sell prices) are in the app. A free account covers three full stock pages a day, no card required.
See today's signal free

What the engine did on BTC-USD, honestly

+34.5% vs +7.6% holding
static-tail validation return per year, after costs
−23.4% vs −66.7% holding
worst drop on static-tail validation
5
closed signals in the historical replay since 2023
4 of 5
closed signals that ended in profit

Closed replay signals on BTC-USD

EntryPriceExitPriceReturnDays
2026-08-23$77,755.272026-09-09$78,259.52+0.6%17
2025-05-03$95,891.802025-10-18$107,198.27+11.8%168
2024-10-19$68,362.732025-02-26$84,347.02+23.4%130
2024-07-27$67,813.342024-07-31$64,619.25−4.7%4
2023-10-18$28,328.342024-06-26$60,811.28+114.7%252

All 5 closed BTC-USD round trips today’s engine produces in the replay window, winners and losers, newest first.

Validation numbers: the engine is tuned on the earlier 60% of this name's history and scored on the later 40%, after costs with next-day fills. That tail was originally withheld but reused in later research, so it is not a pristine unseen test. Backtested, not live. Replay rows are BUY-to-SELL round trips regenerated nightly from end-of-day data; losers stay listed. Method on the methodology page; the row-level artifact is in validation JSON; every name’s current-rule replay slice is on the historical replay page. Hesper Atlas is an educational publication with one systematic signal per name, identical for everyone. It is not financial advice and does not know your situation.

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Each carries the same daily buy / hold / sell signal. All 155 tracked names are on the stocks index, grouped by theme.